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City of MonashPopulation forecast

Clayton

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Clayton indicate a 44.4% increase in females under working age, a 14.2% increase in females of retirement age, and a 35.6% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Monash is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Clayton - Total females202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43343.76175.16404.8+305
5 to 92462.73242.73632.7+117
10 to 142102.32001.73012.3+91
15 to 196737.51,0759.01,1438.6+470
20 to 241,95621.82,34819.62,43418.4+478
25 to 291,48116.51,78714.91,88414.2+404
30 to 341,00111.21,39511.61,45911.0+459
35 to 395546.29477.99947.5+439
40 to 443503.96675.67505.7+400
45 to 492773.14854.06174.7+340
50 to 542853.23553.05063.8+221
55 to 592793.12952.54103.1+130
60 to 642522.82862.43292.5+77
65 to 692242.52572.12752.1+51
70 to 741651.82331.92702.0+104
75 to 791701.91991.72421.8+72
80 to 842092.31861.62501.9+41
85 and over3043.43492.93973.0+93
Total persons8,973100.012,007100.013,265100.0+4,292
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Clayton was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 21.8% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 401 and account for 9.0% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 2,348 females.

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