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City of MonashPopulation forecast

Clayton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Clayton indicate a 56.6% increase in population under working age, a 37.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 31.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Clayton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Clayton - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49124.41,3594.91,4734.8+561
5 to 95782.89083.39983.2+420
10 to 143901.96782.47592.5+369
15 to 192,38411.63,80213.74,17113.5+1,787
20 to 245,57527.06,32322.86,90522.4+1,330
25 to 292,83713.83,77413.64,09713.3+1,260
30 to 341,9629.52,4588.92,7028.8+740
35 to 391,1325.51,6526.01,8105.9+678
40 to 447313.51,1504.11,2924.2+561
45 to 496233.09123.31,0353.4+412
50 to 545692.87722.89012.9+332
55 to 595002.46542.47902.6+290
60 to 644712.36152.27142.3+243
65 to 694102.05852.16592.1+249
70 to 743331.65061.85951.9+262
75 to 793551.74761.75851.9+230
80 to 843351.64201.55391.7+204
85 and over5142.56892.58222.7+307
Total persons20,611100.027,731100.030,848100.0+10,237
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Clayton was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 27.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 1,418 and account for 13.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 6,323 persons.

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