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Mitchell ShirePopulation forecast

Mitchell Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mitchell Shire indicate a 54.9% increase in females under working age, a 23.4% increase in females of retirement age, and a 45.0% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mitchell Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mitchell Shire - Total females202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,7237.02,9058.27,6288.7+5,906
5 to 91,7287.02,6567.57,3888.4+5,660
10 to 141,6116.62,2796.56,2077.1+4,595
15 to 191,4015.71,9595.65,1325.9+3,731
20 to 241,2965.31,9085.44,5975.2+3,301
25 to 291,7107.02,9298.36,7677.7+5,057
30 to 341,9337.93,2329.28,3009.5+6,368
35 to 391,7477.12,8078.07,6798.8+5,932
40 to 441,5206.22,3896.86,5277.4+5,007
45 to 491,6076.52,0085.75,6416.4+4,034
50 to 541,6086.61,9725.64,5945.2+2,986
55 to 591,5356.31,9365.54,0414.6+2,506
60 to 641,4145.81,7314.93,4353.9+2,020
65 to 691,1554.71,4834.22,9233.3+1,768
70 to 741,0164.11,2103.42,5282.9+1,512
75 to 796842.89332.61,9912.3+1,307
80 to 843951.65381.51,3481.5+953
85 and over4591.94131.29671.1+508
Total persons24,544100.035,289100.087,694100.0+63,150
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Mitchell Shire was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 7.9% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 1,300 and account for 9.2% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 3,232 females.

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