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MidCoast CouncilPopulation forecast

MidCoast Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for MidCoast Council indicate a 6.5% increase in females under working age, a 8.1% increase in females of retirement age, and a 6.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the MidCoast Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
MidCoast Council - Total females202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2,0124.12,2814.32,5884.3+577
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3,4487.03,6156.94,1667.0+718
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3,0426.23,1646.03,5195.9+477
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2,4275.02,8745.53,1865.3+759
Young workforce (25 to 34)4,0228.24,4568.55,1258.6+1,103
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)7,04214.47,66214.69,09515.2+2,053
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)6,55813.46,64312.77,18712.0+630
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)8,74217.99,44518.09,97516.7+1,233
Seniors (70 to 84)9,41919.210,43219.912,40320.8+2,984
Elderly aged (85 and over)2,2624.61,9003.62,4964.2+234
Total persons48,973100.052,473100.059,739100.0+10,766
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in MidCoast Council was ages Seniors (70 to 84), which accounted for 19.2% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 1,013 and account for 19.9% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is Seniors (70 to 84) years, with a total of 10,432 females.

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