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MidCoast CouncilPopulation forecast

MidCoast Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for MidCoast Council indicate a 6.8% increase in population under working age, a 6.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the MidCoast Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
MidCoast Council - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,0214.24,6564.55,2814.5+1,260
5 to 94,8885.15,0964.96,0335.2+1,144
10 to 145,5165.75,6585.56,4635.5+947
15 to 194,7034.95,1735.05,6444.8+941
20 to 243,5263.74,0523.94,5793.9+1,053
25 to 293,7783.94,1354.04,8314.1+1,053
30 to 343,9854.14,5734.45,2294.5+1,244
35 to 394,1534.34,7674.65,5424.7+1,389
40 to 444,2744.44,9104.85,8085.0+1,534
45 to 495,1675.45,0984.96,1575.3+990
50 to 545,7626.05,8585.76,4855.6+723
55 to 596,9467.27,0316.87,4676.4+521
60 to 648,4528.88,5618.39,1217.8+668
65 to 698,6379.09,5579.310,0898.6+1,452
70 to 748,6529.08,6788.49,8478.4+1,194
75 to 796,2486.57,3237.18,2617.1+2,014
80 to 843,9604.14,6064.55,6554.8+1,695
85 and over3,7953.93,2643.24,2533.6+458
Total persons96,464100.0102,995100.0116,744100.0+20,280
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in MidCoast Council was ages 70 to 74, which accounted for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,075 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 9,557 persons.

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