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MidCoast CouncilPopulation forecast

MidCoast Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for MidCoast Council indicate a 7.0% increase in population under working age, a 24.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the MidCoast Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
MidCoast Council - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,4564.84,7984.85,3104.7+854
5 to 95,1475.65,3425.36,0855.4+939
10 to 145,0355.55,5265.56,3215.6+1,286
15 to 194,9545.44,8984.95,4604.8+506
20 to 243,7604.13,8183.84,4173.9+657
25 to 293,6624.03,8063.84,3253.8+663
30 to 343,6734.03,9423.94,5624.0+890
35 to 393,8044.14,5024.55,1794.6+1,375
40 to 444,7575.24,9384.95,6355.0+878
45 to 495,3425.85,0405.05,8555.2+512
50 to 546,1286.75,8085.86,4065.7+278
55 to 597,0477.76,7956.87,2436.4+196
60 to 647,5108.27,9687.98,3787.4+868
65 to 698,2579.08,5678.59,0018.0+744
70 to 746,8467.48,0468.08,9687.9+2,122
75 to 794,8885.37,3227.38,1357.2+3,247
80 to 843,3133.65,1505.16,3415.6+3,028
85 and over3,3793.74,0584.05,5284.9+2,148
Total persons91,958100.0100,323100.0113,147100.0+21,189
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in MidCoast Council was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 2,434 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 8,567 persons.

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