City of MelvillePopulation forecast
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Mt Pleasant - Brentwood

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Mt Pleasant - Brentwood is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melville depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions:

  • Migration rates fluctute over time owing to significant residential development opportunities in the short term. Consequently, there is a sizeable increase in net gain through migration between 2016-2021, before returning to the relatively stable housing market of the previous period, attracting similar age-groups into the area as and when housing is available for rent and sale
  • Gain of families (5-24 and 35-49 years)
  • Loss of young famlies (0-4 and 25-34 years), looking for suitable and affordable family housing elsewhere
  • Gain of young adults and professionals (18-24 years), attracted into higher density rental accomodation
  • Loss of empty-nesters and retirees (60-79 years), with little net change through migration assumed in older groups (80+)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 9 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -15 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -35 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -3 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 25 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -72 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -65 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 67 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 96 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 48 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -27 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -85 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 21 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 6 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 21 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 57 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 146 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 124 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 82 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 103 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 163 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 214 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 28 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 9 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -15 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -35 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -3 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 25 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -72 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -65 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 67 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 96 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 48 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -27 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -85 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 21 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 6 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 21 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 57 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 146 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 124 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 82 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 103 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 163 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 214 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 28 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -10
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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