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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Harkness

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Harkness is forecast to grow from 4,168 in 2021 to 6,692 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 3.14 to 2.96 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Melton. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
HarknessForecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population12,64313,07012,89412,74214,06116,19519,137
Change in population (5yrs)--427-176-1511,3182,1352,942
Average annual change--0.67%-0.27%-0.24%1.99%2.87%3.39%
Households4,0174,2184,2694,3264,7985,4996,449
Average household size3.143.093.022.942.932.942.96
Population in non private dwellings19191919191919
Dwellings4,1684,3774,4304,4894,9795,7076,692
Dwelling occupancy rate96.3896.3796.3796.3796.3696.3696.37
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Harkness was estimated to be 12,643 people. It is expected to increase by over 99 people to 12,742 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.08%. This is based on an increase of over 309 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.14 to 2.94 by 2031.

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