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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton South (Existing)

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Melton South (Existing) is forecast to grow from 4,473 in 2021 to 5,576 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 2.66 to 2.55 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Melton. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Melton South (Existing)Forecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population11,56913,35713,70413,66113,66413,71413,780
Change in population (5yrs)--1,788346-4335065
Average annual change--2.92%0.51%-0.06%0.00%0.07%0.10%
Households4,2344,8985,0905,1365,1845,2315,280
Average household size2.662.672.632.602.582.562.55
Population in non private dwellings298298298298298298298
Dwellings4,4735,1745,3765,4265,4765,5265,576
Dwelling occupancy rate94.6694.6794.6894.6694.6794.6694.69
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Melton South (Existing) was estimated to be 11,569 people. It is expected to increase by over 2,092 people to 13,661 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 1.68%. This is based on an increase of over 902 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.66 to 2.60 by 2031.

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