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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Northern Rural

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Northern Rural is forecast to grow from 350 in 2021 to 471 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 2.70 to 2.55 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Melton. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Northern RuralForecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population9019199449841,0331,0781,141
Change in population (5yrs)--182540494563
Average annual change--0.40%0.53%0.84%0.99%0.85%1.14%
Households333348367386404424448
Average household size2.702.642.572.552.562.542.55
Population in non private dwellings0000000
Dwellings350366386406426446471
Dwelling occupancy rate95.1495.0895.0895.0794.8495.0795.12
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Northern Rural was estimated to be 901 people. It is expected to increase by over 83 people to 984 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.89%. This is based on an increase of over 53 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.70 to 2.55 by 2031.

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