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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton East

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Melton East is forecast to grow from 21,708 in 2021 to 22,964 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 3.29 to 2.93 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Melton. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Melton EastForecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population69,07567,85766,17665,82265,35165,11265,071
Change in population (5yrs)---1,218-1,681-354-471-239-40
Average annual change---0.36%-0.50%-0.11%-0.14%-0.07%-0.01%
Households20,87621,38321,55221,85721,95922,04022,124
Average household size3.293.163.063.002.962.942.93
Population in non private dwellings291291291291291291291
Dwellings21,70822,19622,37222,68822,79422,87922,964
Dwelling occupancy rate96.1796.3496.3396.3496.3496.3396.34
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Melton East was estimated to be 69,075 people. It is expected to decrease by over 3,253 people to 65,822 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of -0.48%. This is based on an increase of over 981 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.29 to 3.00 by 2031.

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