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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton Township

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton Township indicate a 35.1% increase in population under working age, a 64.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Melton Township is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton Township - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,0518.95,8298.07,6318.0+2,580
5 to 94,5598.16,1378.47,8628.2+3,303
10 to 143,7066.66,0238.37,5627.9+3,856
15 to 193,5886.45,5407.66,9277.2+3,338
20 to 244,0067.14,3966.05,7976.0+1,791
25 to 294,5498.14,3065.95,8146.1+1,265
30 to 344,5798.14,9006.76,4656.7+1,886
35 to 394,0257.15,2157.26,6867.0+2,661
40 to 443,7586.75,3067.36,6086.9+2,850
45 to 493,3996.04,6946.45,9086.2+2,508
50 to 543,0875.53,9805.55,2765.5+2,189
55 to 593,0285.43,3994.74,7304.9+1,702
60 to 643,0285.43,0444.24,2804.5+1,252
65 to 692,5924.62,8133.93,9464.1+1,354
70 to 741,5342.72,5433.53,4713.6+1,937
75 to 799001.62,1703.02,9033.0+2,003
80 to 845901.01,5582.12,3222.4+1,732
85 and over5170.91,0051.41,7881.9+1,272
Total persons56,495100.072,858100.095,976100.0+39,481
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Melton Township was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 2,317 and account for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 6,137 persons.

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