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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton East

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton East indicate a 25.7% decrease in females under working age, a 44.6% increase in females of retirement age, and a 4.1% decrease in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton East - Total females202120312051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,0395.91,8005.41,7005.2-339
5 to 92,7437.91,9205.81,8505.7-893
10 to 143,0948.92,1316.42,0176.2-1,077
15 to 192,7497.92,5217.62,1206.5-629
20 to 242,1336.12,2856.91,9636.0-170
25 to 291,9215.51,9325.81,8325.6-89
30 to 342,2106.42,0406.22,0206.2-190
35 to 392,8948.32,2686.82,2697.0-625
40 to 443,1679.12,4107.32,3537.2-814
45 to 493,0708.82,6217.92,3117.1-759
50 to 542,3546.82,5437.72,1156.5-239
55 to 591,7895.22,2826.91,8925.8+103
60 to 641,4044.01,8105.51,7095.2+305
65 to 691,1213.21,4274.31,6064.9+485
70 to 749132.61,1453.51,5174.7+604
75 to 795151.58792.71,3484.1+833
80 to 843371.06291.91,0133.1+676
85 and over2810.84991.59522.9+671
Total persons34,734100.033,142100.032,587100.0-2,147
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Melton East was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 9.1% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 55 to 59, which is expected to increase by 493 and account for 6.9% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 2,621 females.

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