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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton Growth Areas

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Melton Growth Areas indicate a 305.1% increase in females under working age, a 719.9% increase in females of retirement age, and a 344.2% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton Growth Areas - Total females202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,35712.47,8559.210,0748.0+7,717
5 to 91,8429.77,7719.19,9967.9+8,154
10 to 141,3026.86,6567.89,1117.2+7,810
15 to 198644.55,2186.17,7856.2+6,921
20 to 241,1546.04,6285.46,7275.3+5,573
25 to 292,02510.66,7077.98,6796.9+6,654
30 to 342,87015.09,26610.911,6689.2+8,798
35 to 392,30312.19,49011.212,2679.7+9,965
40 to 441,3327.07,7579.110,6768.4+9,343
45 to 498254.35,7236.78,9877.1+8,162
50 to 546433.43,9354.67,2635.7+6,620
55 to 594912.62,7223.25,8724.6+5,382
60 to 644422.32,0752.44,5523.6+4,110
65 to 693231.71,6181.93,5452.8+3,223
70 to 741901.01,2251.43,0352.4+2,845
75 to 79660.39751.12,6452.1+2,580
80 to 84270.16980.81,8901.5+1,863
85 and over230.16410.81,7381.4+1,715
Total persons19,077100.084,960100.0126,512100.0+107,435
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Melton Growth Areas was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 15.0% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 7,188 and account for 11.2% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2036 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 9,490 females.

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