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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Taylors Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Taylors Hill indicate a 15.9% decrease in population under working age, a 85.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Taylors Hill is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Taylors Hill - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,4479.29355.78825.7-565
5 to 91,76111.21,2597.61,1547.4-607
10 to 141,3008.31,5989.71,3178.5+17
15 to 191,1077.11,77810.81,3999.0+292
20 to 248925.71,3678.31,1617.5+269
25 to 298845.66804.17034.5-181
30 to 341,3148.46864.26834.4-631
35 to 391,58810.18575.28035.2-785
40 to 441,56610.01,0876.69466.1-620
45 to 491,0586.71,1837.28965.8-162
50 to 547754.91,2997.99045.8+129
55 to 595633.61,1476.98785.7+315
60 to 644552.98325.08355.4+380
65 to 693452.26003.67875.1+442
70 to 742491.64492.77514.8+502
75 to 791921.23532.16424.1+450
80 to 841110.72351.44402.8+329
85 and over740.51661.03172.0+243
Total persons15,681100.016,510100.015,500100.0-181
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Taylors Hill was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 11.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 671 and account for 10.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 1,778 persons.

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