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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for City of Melton indicate a 52.5% increase in males under working age, a 69.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 59.8% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melton - Total males202120312051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47,5858.412,1588.416,5587.5+8,973
5 to 97,9398.711,8368.217,0197.7+9,080
10 to 147,0667.810,4617.315,9567.2+8,890
15 to 195,9556.69,5466.614,6586.6+8,703
20 to 246,0706.79,3506.513,5076.1+7,437
25 to 296,3857.010,4047.214,3706.5+7,985
30 to 347,9168.713,0969.118,0778.2+10,161
35 to 398,3889.213,9869.719,7618.9+11,373
40 to 447,1127.811,9118.317,5617.9+10,449
45 to 496,4357.19,7506.815,2386.9+8,803
50 to 544,9985.57,6665.312,8635.8+7,865
55 to 594,0614.56,2914.410,8574.9+6,796
60 to 643,3073.64,8853.48,9304.0+5,623
65 to 692,8353.13,8622.77,4083.4+4,573
70 to 742,2232.43,0442.15,8422.6+3,619
75 to 791,3701.52,3631.64,7012.1+3,331
80 to 847310.81,8931.33,7701.7+3,039
85 and over4180.51,7011.24,0671.8+3,649
Total persons90,794100.0144,203100.0221,143100.0+130,349
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in City of Melton was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 9.2% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 5,598 and account for 9.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 13,986 males.

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