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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Burnside Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Burnside Heights indicate a 14.2% decrease in population under working age, a 135.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Burnside Heights is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Burnside Heights - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 477512.14827.54337.0-342
5 to 968710.75648.85238.5-164
10 to 144346.75809.15118.3+77
15 to 194286.75809.14867.9+58
20 to 243785.94026.33836.2+5
25 to 293986.23305.23475.6-51
30 to 3471211.14557.14557.4-257
35 to 3977212.05288.25168.4-256
40 to 445448.55298.35038.2-41
45 to 493926.14497.03906.3-2
50 to 542814.43966.23265.3+45
55 to 592153.32944.62774.5+62
60 to 641752.72503.92514.1+76
65 to 691312.02133.32444.0+113
70 to 74550.91662.62103.4+155
75 to 79280.41131.81512.4+123
80 to 84230.4560.9981.6+75
85 and over30.0180.3530.9+50
Total persons6,431100.06,404100.06,157100.0-274
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Burnside Heights was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 12.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 152 and account for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 580 persons.

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