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City of Melbourne

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Melbourne will increase by an average of 5,092 dwellings per annum to 203,206 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melbourne. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
City of MelbourneChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
City of Melbourne+127,294+167.7
Carlton+6,490+61.3
Docklands+17,363+265.7
East Melbourne+889+30.2
Kensington+5,403+101.6
Melbourne (CBD)+38,732+172.6
Melbourne (Remainder)+1,446+146.8
North Melbourne+13,132+170.3
Parkville+869+35.4
Port Melbourne+9,793+298828.0
South Yarra+256+9.4
Southbank+19,572+169.5
West Melbourne (Industrial)+5,171+10394.6
West Melbourne (Residential)+8,178+312.1

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2019.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 203,206 2040 Total dwellings: 198,408 2039 Total dwellings: 193,604 2038 Total dwellings: 188,826 2037 Total dwellings: 184,026 2036 Total dwellings: 179,160 2035 Total dwellings: 174,283 2034 Total dwellings: 169,384 2033 Total dwellings: 164,427 2032 Total dwellings: 159,507 2031 Total dwellings: 154,650 2030 Total dwellings: 149,801 2029 Total dwellings: 144,736 2028 Total dwellings: 139,632 2027 Total dwellings: 134,650 2026 Total dwellings: 129,610 2025 Total dwellings: 124,546 2024 Total dwellings: 119,425 2023 Total dwellings: 114,375 2022 Total dwellings: 109,340 2021 Total dwellings: 104,500 2020 Total dwellings: 97,564 2019 Total dwellings: 91,767 2018 Total dwellings: 87,639 2017 Total dwellings: 82,480 2041 Total dwellings: 203,206 2040 Total dwellings: 198,408 2039 Total dwellings: 193,604 2038 Total dwellings: 188,826 2037 Total dwellings: 184,026 2036 Total dwellings: 179,160 2035 Total dwellings: 174,283 2034 Total dwellings: 169,384 2033 Total dwellings: 164,427 2032 Total dwellings: 159,507 2031 Total dwellings: 154,650 2030 Total dwellings: 149,801 2029 Total dwellings: 144,736 2028 Total dwellings: 139,632 2027 Total dwellings: 134,650 2026 Total dwellings: 129,610 2025 Total dwellings: 124,546 2024 Total dwellings: 119,425 2023 Total dwellings: 114,375 2022 Total dwellings: 109,340 2021 Total dwellings: 104,500 2020 Total dwellings: 97,564 2019 Total dwellings: 91,767 2018 Total dwellings: 87,639 2017 Total dwellings: 82,480 2041 Forecast development: 4,798 2040 Forecast development: 4,804 2039 Forecast development: 4,778 2038 Forecast development: 4,800 2037 Forecast development: 4,866 2036 Forecast development: 4,877 2035 Forecast development: 4,899 2034 Forecast development: 4,957 2033 Forecast development: 4,920 2032 Forecast development: 4,857 2031 Forecast development: 4,849 2030 Forecast development: 5,065 2029 Forecast development: 5,104 2028 Forecast development: 4,982 2027 Forecast development: 5,040 2026 Forecast development: 5,064 2025 Forecast development: 5,121 2024 Forecast development: 5,050 2023 Forecast development: 5,035 2022 Forecast development: 4,840 2021 Forecast development: 6,936 2020 Forecast development: 5,797 2019 Forecast development: 4,128 2018 Forecast development: 5,159 2017 Forecast development: 6,568
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
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