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Kensington

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Kensington will increase by an average of 216 dwellings per annum to 10,721 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melbourne. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017-2022 dwelling additions are based on known sites, both completed and under construction. They include:

  • River Walk -71 Hobsons Rd - 176 dwellings (2019)
  • 54-60 Smith Street - 10 dwellings (2021)
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings

2023-2041 dwelling additions are based on approved and mooted sites, as well as future identified development precincts. Total assumed from 2023-2041: 5,210 dwellings

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 10,721 2040 Total dwellings: 10,401 2039 Total dwellings: 10,081 2038 Total dwellings: 9,742 2037 Total dwellings: 9,406 2036 Total dwellings: 9,117 2035 Total dwellings: 8,829 2034 Total dwellings: 8,444 2033 Total dwellings: 8,059 2032 Total dwellings: 7,669 2031 Total dwellings: 7,284 2030 Total dwellings: 6,992 2029 Total dwellings: 6,712 2028 Total dwellings: 6,447 2027 Total dwellings: 6,227 2026 Total dwellings: 6,007 2025 Total dwellings: 5,859 2024 Total dwellings: 5,732 2023 Total dwellings: 5,655 2022 Total dwellings: 5,569 2021 Total dwellings: 5,513 2020 Total dwellings: 5,503 2019 Total dwellings: 5,503 2018 Total dwellings: 5,327 2017 Total dwellings: 5,318 2041 Total dwellings: 10,721 2040 Total dwellings: 10,401 2039 Total dwellings: 10,081 2038 Total dwellings: 9,742 2037 Total dwellings: 9,406 2036 Total dwellings: 9,117 2035 Total dwellings: 8,829 2034 Total dwellings: 8,444 2033 Total dwellings: 8,059 2032 Total dwellings: 7,669 2031 Total dwellings: 7,284 2030 Total dwellings: 6,992 2029 Total dwellings: 6,712 2028 Total dwellings: 6,447 2027 Total dwellings: 6,227 2026 Total dwellings: 6,007 2025 Total dwellings: 5,859 2024 Total dwellings: 5,732 2023 Total dwellings: 5,655 2022 Total dwellings: 5,569 2021 Total dwellings: 5,513 2020 Total dwellings: 5,503 2019 Total dwellings: 5,503 2018 Total dwellings: 5,327 2017 Total dwellings: 5,318 2041 Forecast development: 320 2040 Forecast development: 320 2039 Forecast development: 339 2038 Forecast development: 336 2037 Forecast development: 289 2036 Forecast development: 288 2035 Forecast development: 385 2034 Forecast development: 385 2033 Forecast development: 390 2032 Forecast development: 385 2031 Forecast development: 292 2030 Forecast development: 280 2029 Forecast development: 265 2028 Forecast development: 220 2027 Forecast development: 220 2026 Forecast development: 148 2025 Forecast development: 127 2024 Forecast development: 77 2023 Forecast development: 86 2022 Forecast development: 56 2021 Forecast development: 10 2020 Forecast development: 0 2019 Forecast development: 176 2018 Forecast development: 9 2017 Forecast development: 0
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
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