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Carlton

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Carlton will increase by an average of 260 dwellings per annum to 17,070 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melbourne. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017-2022 dwelling additions are based on known sites, both completed and under construction. They include:

  • Apt Carlton - 481-495 Rathdowne Street C - 143 dwellings (2017)
  • Queens Carlton - 54 dwellings (2017)
  • The Eminence - 193 dwellings (2017)
  • The Residences at Rathdowne Place Retirement Apartments - 91 dwellings (2017)
  • Royal Elizabeth - 149-155 Berkeley St - 150 dwellings (2017)
  • Arrow on Swanston Expansion - 10 dwellings (2018)
  • Swanston Central - 1,035 dwellings (2019)
  • Found Carlton - 111 Nicholson St - 69 dwellings (2020)
  • 684-688 Elizabeth Street - 120 dwellings (2020)
  • 111-149 Nicholson Street - 116 dwellings (2022)
  • Small sites - 8 dwellings

2023-2041 dwelling additions are based on approved and mooted sites, as well as future identified development precincts. Total assumed from 2023-2041: 4,500 dwellings

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 17,070 2040 Total dwellings: 16,790 2039 Total dwellings: 16,510 2038 Total dwellings: 16,230 2037 Total dwellings: 15,950 2036 Total dwellings: 15,682 2035 Total dwellings: 15,416 2034 Total dwellings: 15,159 2033 Total dwellings: 14,899 2032 Total dwellings: 14,634 2031 Total dwellings: 14,369 2030 Total dwellings: 14,194 2029 Total dwellings: 14,006 2028 Total dwellings: 13,806 2027 Total dwellings: 13,622 2026 Total dwellings: 13,470 2025 Total dwellings: 13,351 2024 Total dwellings: 13,318 2023 Total dwellings: 13,238 2022 Total dwellings: 12,874 2021 Total dwellings: 12,453 2020 Total dwellings: 12,453 2019 Total dwellings: 12,264 2018 Total dwellings: 11,221 2017 Total dwellings: 11,211 2041 Total dwellings: 17,070 2040 Total dwellings: 16,790 2039 Total dwellings: 16,510 2038 Total dwellings: 16,230 2037 Total dwellings: 15,950 2036 Total dwellings: 15,682 2035 Total dwellings: 15,416 2034 Total dwellings: 15,159 2033 Total dwellings: 14,899 2032 Total dwellings: 14,634 2031 Total dwellings: 14,369 2030 Total dwellings: 14,194 2029 Total dwellings: 14,006 2028 Total dwellings: 13,806 2027 Total dwellings: 13,622 2026 Total dwellings: 13,470 2025 Total dwellings: 13,351 2024 Total dwellings: 13,318 2023 Total dwellings: 13,238 2022 Total dwellings: 12,874 2021 Total dwellings: 12,453 2020 Total dwellings: 12,453 2019 Total dwellings: 12,264 2018 Total dwellings: 11,221 2017 Total dwellings: 11,211 2041 Forecast development: 280 2040 Forecast development: 280 2039 Forecast development: 280 2038 Forecast development: 280 2037 Forecast development: 268 2036 Forecast development: 266 2035 Forecast development: 257 2034 Forecast development: 260 2033 Forecast development: 265 2032 Forecast development: 265 2031 Forecast development: 175 2030 Forecast development: 188 2029 Forecast development: 200 2028 Forecast development: 184 2027 Forecast development: 152 2026 Forecast development: 119 2025 Forecast development: 33 2024 Forecast development: 80 2023 Forecast development: 364 2022 Forecast development: 421 2021 Forecast development: 0 2020 Forecast development: 189 2019 Forecast development: 1,043 2018 Forecast development: 10 2017 Forecast development: 631
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
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