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Southbank

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Southbank indicate a 308.1% increase in population under working age, a 260.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 120.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melbourne is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Southbank - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46553.22,0744.32,0503.8+1,395
5 to 92361.21,3562.81,6353.1+1,399
10 to 141430.77901.61,2602.4+1,117
15 to 199084.51,7393.61,8743.5+965
20 to 243,48017.25,62911.75,0459.5+1,565
25 to 294,49422.28,26217.17,39513.9+2,901
30 to 343,56617.67,10114.76,68512.5+3,119
35 to 391,8008.94,99310.35,1469.7+3,346
40 to 441,0325.13,6357.54,2287.9+3,197
45 to 497853.92,8665.93,7237.0+2,938
50 to 547753.82,3274.83,2496.1+2,474
55 to 597223.61,9424.02,7205.1+1,998
60 to 645612.81,5353.22,1134.0+1,552
65 to 695312.61,3602.81,8623.5+1,331
70 to 742931.41,0992.31,5963.0+1,304
75 to 791660.87511.61,2282.3+1,062
80 to 84690.35011.08671.6+798
85 and over670.33430.76131.1+546
Total persons20,280100.048,305100.053,288100.0+33,007

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 613 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 867 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 1,228 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 1,596 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,862 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 2,113 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 2,720 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 3,249 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 3,723 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 4,228 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 5,146 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 6,685 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 7,395 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 5,045 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,874 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,260 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,635 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 2,050 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 343 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 501 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 751 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 1,099 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 1,360 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 1,535 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 1,942 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 2,327 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 2,866 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 3,635 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 4,993 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 7,101 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 8,262 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 5,629 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,739 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 790 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 1,356 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 2,074 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 67 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 69 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 166 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 293 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 531 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 561 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 722 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 775 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 785 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,032 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,800 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 3,566 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,494 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 3,480 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 908 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 143 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 236 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 655
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 269 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 366 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 477 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 498 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 502 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 578 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 778 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 921 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 857 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 593 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 153 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: -416 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: -867 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: -585 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 135 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 469 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 279 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: -24 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 276 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 432 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 585 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 806 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 829 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 975 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 1,220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 1,553 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 2,082 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 2,603 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 3,193 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 3,535 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 3,768 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 2,149 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 830 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 647 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 1,120 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 1,419
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Southbank was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 22.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 3,768 and account for 17.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 8,262 persons.

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