City of MelbournePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Carlton

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Carlton is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melbourne depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Very consistent migration profile across the 2016-2031 period
  • Large gain of young adults (18-24 years), especially tertiary students in their late teens
  • Loss of young couples (25-39 year olds)
  • Minor gain of mature adults (40-59 year olds)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 3 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 9 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 34 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 64 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 26 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 60 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 154 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 183 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 69 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -308 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -1,422 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -1,490 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 321 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 2,869 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 294 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -97 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 290 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 9 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 12 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 13 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 24 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 70 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 54 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 95 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 161 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 162 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 28 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -398 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,340 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -1,938 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 463 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,184 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 316 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 150 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 11 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 21 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 50 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 86 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 116 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 181 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 135 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 45 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -320 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -695 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -1,635 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 681 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,816 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 348 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 35 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 92 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 3 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 9 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 34 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 64 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 26 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 60 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 154 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 183 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 69 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -308 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -1,422 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -1,490 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 321 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 2,869 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 294 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -97 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 290 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 9 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 12 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 13 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 24 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 70 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 54 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 95 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 161 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 162 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 28 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -398 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,340 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -1,938 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 463 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,184 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 316 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 150 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 11 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 21 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 50 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 86 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 116 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 181 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 135 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 45 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -320 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -695 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -1,635 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 681 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,816 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 348 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 35 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 92
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
v19.09.08-1.0.0