City of MelbournePopulation forecast
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City of Melbourne

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Melbourne is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melbourne depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Substantial in-migration of late teens and persons in their early twenties to many parts of the City, notably Melbourne CBD, Carlton, Southbank and Docklands
  • Some loss of persons in their thirties, as couples and young and prospective family households move from the City for more affordable and appropriate housing types
  • Minor gain of mature adults (generally without children) in their forties, fifties and sixties

Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 657 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 241 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 169 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 539 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 546 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 888 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 939 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 1,751 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 2,096 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 570 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -3,079 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -11,298 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,198 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 18,655 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 19,422 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 1,179 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -1,264 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -346 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 522 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 233 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 133 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 352 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 500 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 943 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 1,095 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 1,716 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,780 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 266 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -3,585 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -8,214 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 222 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 18,641 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 19,994 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,258 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -649 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -1,689 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 377 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 165 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 164 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 376 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 910 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 1,075 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 1,492 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 1,258 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 348 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -2,712 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -3,381 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,138 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 20,556 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 21,402 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,347 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -289 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -2,087 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 657 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 241 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 169 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 539 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 546 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 888 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 939 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 1,751 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 2,096 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 570 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -3,079 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -11,298 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,198 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 18,655 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 19,422 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 1,179 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -1,264 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -346 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 522 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 233 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 133 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 352 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 500 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 943 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 1,095 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 1,716 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,780 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 266 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -3,585 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -8,214 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 222 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 18,641 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 19,994 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,258 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -649 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -1,689 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 377 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 165 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 164 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 376 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 910 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 1,075 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 1,492 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 1,258 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 348 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -2,712 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -3,381 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,138 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 20,556 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 21,402 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,347 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -289 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -2,087
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
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