City of MelbournePopulation forecast
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Melbourne (CBD)

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Melbourne (CBD) is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 21,009 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Melbourne (CBD)Forecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,7292,4722,8503,0083,181
Deaths--3245588511,1821,556
Natural increase/decrease--1,4041,9141,9991,8261,625
Net migration--17,59110,2517,9797,9028,809
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--2,0141,1872,3851,3501,350

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 2,331 2040 forecast population change: 2,336 2039 forecast population change: 2,543 2038 forecast population change: 2,405 2037 forecast population change: 2,169 2036 forecast population change: 2,235 2035 forecast population change: 2,387 2034 forecast population change: 2,400 2033 forecast population change: 2,267 2032 forecast population change: 1,789 2031 forecast population change: 2,273 2030 forecast population change: 1,778 2029 forecast population change: 2,303 2028 forecast population change: 2,959 2027 forecast population change: 3,050 2026 forecast population change: 2,606 2025 forecast population change: 2,346 2024 forecast population change: 2,954 2023 forecast population change: 2,770 2022 forecast population change: 2,676 2021 forecast population change: 5,440 2020 forecast population change: 3,384 2019 forecast population change: 3,817 2018 forecast population change: 3,827 2017 forecast population change: 4,541
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 310 2040 Natural increase: 317 2039 Natural increase: 325 2038 Natural increase: 333 2037 Natural increase: 340 2036 Natural increase: 348 2035 Natural increase: 356 2034 Natural increase: 365 2033 Natural increase: 373 2032 Natural increase: 382 2031 Natural increase: 390 2030 Natural increase: 398 2029 Natural increase: 403 2028 Natural increase: 405 2027 Natural increase: 403 2026 Natural increase: 401 2025 Natural increase: 397 2024 Natural increase: 385 2023 Natural increase: 373 2022 Natural increase: 358 2021 Natural increase: 329 2020 Natural increase: 309 2019 Natural increase: 289 2018 Natural increase: 265 2017 Natural increase: 212 2041 Total deaths: 344 2040 Total deaths: 327 2039 Total deaths: 311 2038 Total deaths: 295 2037 Total deaths: 280 2036 Total deaths: 265 2035 Total deaths: 251 2034 Total deaths: 236 2033 Total deaths: 222 2032 Total deaths: 209 2031 Total deaths: 196 2030 Total deaths: 183 2029 Total deaths: 170 2028 Total deaths: 157 2027 Total deaths: 145 2026 Total deaths: 133 2025 Total deaths: 122 2024 Total deaths: 110 2023 Total deaths: 100 2022 Total deaths: 92 2021 Total deaths: 79 2020 Total deaths: 71 2019 Total deaths: 64 2018 Total deaths: 58 2017 Total deaths: 52 2041 Total births: 654 2040 Total births: 644 2039 Total births: 635 2038 Total births: 627 2037 Total births: 620 2036 Total births: 613 2035 Total births: 607 2034 Total births: 601 2033 Total births: 595 2032 Total births: 591 2031 Total births: 586 2030 Total births: 581 2029 Total births: 573 2028 Total births: 562 2027 Total births: 548 2026 Total births: 534 2025 Total births: 519 2024 Total births: 496 2023 Total births: 474 2022 Total births: 450 2021 Total births: 408 2020 Total births: 381 2019 Total births: 353 2018 Total births: 323 2017 Total births: 263 2041 Natural increase: 310 2040 Natural increase: 317 2039 Natural increase: 325 2038 Natural increase: 333 2037 Natural increase: 340 2036 Natural increase: 348 2035 Natural increase: 356 2034 Natural increase: 365 2033 Natural increase: 373 2032 Natural increase: 382 2031 Natural increase: 390 2030 Natural increase: 398 2029 Natural increase: 403 2028 Natural increase: 405 2027 Natural increase: 403 2026 Natural increase: 401 2025 Natural increase: 397 2024 Natural increase: 385 2023 Natural increase: 373 2022 Natural increase: 358 2021 Natural increase: 329 2020 Natural increase: 309 2019 Natural increase: 289 2018 Natural increase: 265 2017 Natural increase: 212 2041 Total deaths: 344 2040 Total deaths: 327 2039 Total deaths: 311 2038 Total deaths: 295 2037 Total deaths: 280 2036 Total deaths: 265 2035 Total deaths: 251 2034 Total deaths: 236 2033 Total deaths: 222 2032 Total deaths: 209 2031 Total deaths: 196 2030 Total deaths: 183 2029 Total deaths: 170 2028 Total deaths: 157 2027 Total deaths: 145 2026 Total deaths: 133 2025 Total deaths: 122 2024 Total deaths: 110 2023 Total deaths: 100 2022 Total deaths: 92 2021 Total deaths: 79 2020 Total deaths: 71 2019 Total deaths: 64 2018 Total deaths: 58 2017 Total deaths: 52 2041 Total births: 654 2040 Total births: 644 2039 Total births: 635 2038 Total births: 627 2037 Total births: 620 2036 Total births: 613 2035 Total births: 607 2034 Total births: 601 2033 Total births: 595 2032 Total births: 591 2031 Total births: 586 2030 Total births: 581 2029 Total births: 573 2028 Total births: 562 2027 Total births: 548 2026 Total births: 534 2025 Total births: 519 2024 Total births: 496 2023 Total births: 474 2022 Total births: 450 2021 Total births: 408 2020 Total births: 381 2019 Total births: 353 2018 Total births: 323 2017 Total births: 263
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 1,841 2040 Total net migration: 1,839 2039 Total net migration: 1,814 2038 Total net migration: 1,667 2037 Total net migration: 1,649 2036 Total net migration: 1,706 2035 Total net migration: 1,625 2034 Total net migration: 1,629 2033 Total net migration: 1,714 2032 Total net migration: 1,226 2031 Total net migration: 1,523 2030 Total net migration: 1,065 2029 Total net migration: 1,600 2028 Total net migration: 1,744 2027 Total net migration: 2,047 2026 Total net migration: 1,931 2025 Total net migration: 1,652 2024 Total net migration: 2,569 2023 Total net migration: 2,069 2022 Total net migration: 2,031 2021 Total net migration: 4,861 2020 Total net migration: 2,420 2019 Total net migration: 2,856 2018 Total net migration: 3,124 2017 Total net migration: 4,330 2041 Total out migration: 16,608 2040 Total out migration: 16,289 2039 Total out migration: 15,976 2038 Total out migration: 15,697 2037 Total out migration: 15,426 2036 Total out migration: 15,145 2035 Total out migration: 14,888 2034 Total out migration: 14,628 2033 Total out migration: 14,356 2032 Total out migration: 14,203 2031 Total out migration: 13,997 2030 Total out migration: 13,949 2029 Total out migration: 13,779 2028 Total out migration: 13,571 2027 Total out migration: 13,285 2026 Total out migration: 13,016 2025 Total out migration: 12,804 2024 Total out migration: 12,371 2023 Total out migration: 12,039 2022 Total out migration: 11,702 2021 Total out migration: 10,692 2020 Total out migration: 10,124 2019 Total out migration: 9,463 2018 Total out migration: 8,735 2017 Total out migration: 7,760 2041 Total in migration: 18,449 2040 Total in migration: 18,128 2039 Total in migration: 17,790 2038 Total in migration: 17,365 2037 Total in migration: 17,074 2036 Total in migration: 16,852 2035 Total in migration: 16,513 2034 Total in migration: 16,257 2033 Total in migration: 16,070 2032 Total in migration: 15,429 2031 Total in migration: 15,520 2030 Total in migration: 15,014 2029 Total in migration: 15,380 2028 Total in migration: 15,314 2027 Total in migration: 15,333 2026 Total in migration: 14,947 2025 Total in migration: 14,455 2024 Total in migration: 14,940 2023 Total in migration: 14,108 2022 Total in migration: 13,733 2021 Total in migration: 15,553 2020 Total in migration: 12,544 2019 Total in migration: 12,319 2018 Total in migration: 11,859 2017 Total in migration: 12,089 2041 Total net migration: 1,841 2040 Total net migration: 1,839 2039 Total net migration: 1,814 2038 Total net migration: 1,667 2037 Total net migration: 1,649 2036 Total net migration: 1,706 2035 Total net migration: 1,625 2034 Total net migration: 1,629 2033 Total net migration: 1,714 2032 Total net migration: 1,226 2031 Total net migration: 1,523 2030 Total net migration: 1,065 2029 Total net migration: 1,600 2028 Total net migration: 1,744 2027 Total net migration: 2,047 2026 Total net migration: 1,931 2025 Total net migration: 1,652 2024 Total net migration: 2,569 2023 Total net migration: 2,069 2022 Total net migration: 2,031 2021 Total net migration: 4,861 2020 Total net migration: 2,420 2019 Total net migration: 2,856 2018 Total net migration: 3,124 2017 Total net migration: 4,330 2041 Total out migration: 16,608 2040 Total out migration: 16,289 2039 Total out migration: 15,976 2038 Total out migration: 15,697 2037 Total out migration: 15,426 2036 Total out migration: 15,145 2035 Total out migration: 14,888 2034 Total out migration: 14,628 2033 Total out migration: 14,356 2032 Total out migration: 14,203 2031 Total out migration: 13,997 2030 Total out migration: 13,949 2029 Total out migration: 13,779 2028 Total out migration: 13,571 2027 Total out migration: 13,285 2026 Total out migration: 13,016 2025 Total out migration: 12,804 2024 Total out migration: 12,371 2023 Total out migration: 12,039 2022 Total out migration: 11,702 2021 Total out migration: 10,692 2020 Total out migration: 10,124 2019 Total out migration: 9,463 2018 Total out migration: 8,735 2017 Total out migration: 7,760 2041 Total in migration: 18,449 2040 Total in migration: 18,128 2039 Total in migration: 17,790 2038 Total in migration: 17,365 2037 Total in migration: 17,074 2036 Total in migration: 16,852 2035 Total in migration: 16,513 2034 Total in migration: 16,257 2033 Total in migration: 16,070 2032 Total in migration: 15,429 2031 Total in migration: 15,520 2030 Total in migration: 15,014 2029 Total in migration: 15,380 2028 Total in migration: 15,314 2027 Total in migration: 15,333 2026 Total in migration: 14,947 2025 Total in migration: 14,455 2024 Total in migration: 14,940 2023 Total in migration: 14,108 2022 Total in migration: 13,733 2021 Total in migration: 15,553 2020 Total in migration: 12,544 2019 Total in migration: 12,319 2018 Total in migration: 11,859 2017 Total in migration: 12,089
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
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