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Carlton

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Carlton is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 5,993 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
CarltonForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--641765787785788
Deaths--239309385471560
Natural increase/decrease--402456403314228
Net migration--2,9891,0251,0631,6831,803
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--2,6032,601194630630

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 589 2040 forecast population change: 588 2039 forecast population change: 454 2038 forecast population change: 456 2037 forecast population change: 575 2036 forecast population change: 571 2035 forecast population change: 430 2034 forecast population change: 439 2033 forecast population change: 588 2032 forecast population change: 599 2031 forecast population change: 303 2030 forecast population change: 358 2029 forecast population change: 377 2028 forecast population change: 305 2027 forecast population change: 316 2026 forecast population change: 232 2025 forecast population change: 637 2024 forecast population change: 887 2023 forecast population change: 1,331 2022 forecast population change: 995 2021 forecast population change: 758 2020 forecast population change: 1,120 2019 forecast population change: 2,373 2018 forecast population change: 415 2017 forecast population change: 1,328
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 40 2040 Natural increase: 43 2039 Natural increase: 45 2038 Natural increase: 49 2037 Natural increase: 52 2036 Natural increase: 55 2035 Natural increase: 59 2034 Natural increase: 63 2033 Natural increase: 67 2032 Natural increase: 70 2031 Natural increase: 74 2030 Natural increase: 78 2029 Natural increase: 81 2028 Natural increase: 84 2027 Natural increase: 87 2026 Natural increase: 89 2025 Natural increase: 91 2024 Natural increase: 92 2023 Natural increase: 92 2022 Natural increase: 91 2021 Natural increase: 91 2020 Natural increase: 88 2019 Natural increase: 83 2018 Natural increase: 80 2017 Natural increase: 61 2041 Total deaths: 119 2040 Total deaths: 115 2039 Total deaths: 112 2038 Total deaths: 108 2037 Total deaths: 105 2036 Total deaths: 101 2035 Total deaths: 98 2034 Total deaths: 94 2033 Total deaths: 91 2032 Total deaths: 87 2031 Total deaths: 84 2030 Total deaths: 80 2029 Total deaths: 77 2028 Total deaths: 74 2027 Total deaths: 70 2026 Total deaths: 68 2025 Total deaths: 65 2024 Total deaths: 62 2023 Total deaths: 59 2022 Total deaths: 56 2021 Total deaths: 53 2020 Total deaths: 51 2019 Total deaths: 48 2018 Total deaths: 46 2017 Total deaths: 41 2041 Total births: 159 2040 Total births: 158 2039 Total births: 157 2038 Total births: 157 2037 Total births: 157 2036 Total births: 157 2035 Total births: 157 2034 Total births: 157 2033 Total births: 157 2032 Total births: 157 2031 Total births: 158 2030 Total births: 158 2029 Total births: 158 2028 Total births: 157 2027 Total births: 157 2026 Total births: 157 2025 Total births: 156 2024 Total births: 154 2023 Total births: 151 2022 Total births: 147 2021 Total births: 144 2020 Total births: 140 2019 Total births: 131 2018 Total births: 125 2017 Total births: 102 2041 Natural increase: 40 2040 Natural increase: 43 2039 Natural increase: 45 2038 Natural increase: 49 2037 Natural increase: 52 2036 Natural increase: 55 2035 Natural increase: 59 2034 Natural increase: 63 2033 Natural increase: 67 2032 Natural increase: 70 2031 Natural increase: 74 2030 Natural increase: 78 2029 Natural increase: 81 2028 Natural increase: 84 2027 Natural increase: 87 2026 Natural increase: 89 2025 Natural increase: 91 2024 Natural increase: 92 2023 Natural increase: 92 2022 Natural increase: 91 2021 Natural increase: 91 2020 Natural increase: 88 2019 Natural increase: 83 2018 Natural increase: 80 2017 Natural increase: 61 2041 Total deaths: 119 2040 Total deaths: 115 2039 Total deaths: 112 2038 Total deaths: 108 2037 Total deaths: 105 2036 Total deaths: 101 2035 Total deaths: 98 2034 Total deaths: 94 2033 Total deaths: 91 2032 Total deaths: 87 2031 Total deaths: 84 2030 Total deaths: 80 2029 Total deaths: 77 2028 Total deaths: 74 2027 Total deaths: 70 2026 Total deaths: 68 2025 Total deaths: 65 2024 Total deaths: 62 2023 Total deaths: 59 2022 Total deaths: 56 2021 Total deaths: 53 2020 Total deaths: 51 2019 Total deaths: 48 2018 Total deaths: 46 2017 Total deaths: 41 2041 Total births: 159 2040 Total births: 158 2039 Total births: 157 2038 Total births: 157 2037 Total births: 157 2036 Total births: 157 2035 Total births: 157 2034 Total births: 157 2033 Total births: 157 2032 Total births: 157 2031 Total births: 158 2030 Total births: 158 2029 Total births: 158 2028 Total births: 157 2027 Total births: 157 2026 Total births: 157 2025 Total births: 156 2024 Total births: 154 2023 Total births: 151 2022 Total births: 147 2021 Total births: 144 2020 Total births: 140 2019 Total births: 131 2018 Total births: 125 2017 Total births: 102
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 369 2040 Total net migration: 365 2039 Total net migration: 364 2038 Total net migration: 362 2037 Total net migration: 343 2036 Total net migration: 336 2035 Total net migration: 326 2034 Total net migration: 331 2033 Total net migration: 341 2032 Total net migration: 349 2031 Total net migration: 185 2030 Total net migration: 236 2029 Total net migration: 251 2028 Total net migration: 221 2027 Total net migration: 171 2026 Total net migration: 143 2025 Total net migration: 24 2024 Total net migration: 135 2023 Total net migration: 359 2022 Total net migration: 364 2021 Total net migration: -15 2020 Total net migration: 232 2019 Total net migration: 1,213 2018 Total net migration: 317 2017 Total net migration: 1,242 2041 Total out migration: 4,516 2040 Total out migration: 4,462 2039 Total out migration: 4,409 2038 Total out migration: 4,357 2037 Total out migration: 4,310 2036 Total out migration: 4,266 2035 Total out migration: 4,226 2034 Total out migration: 4,184 2033 Total out migration: 4,141 2032 Total out migration: 4,100 2031 Total out migration: 4,096 2030 Total out migration: 4,096 2029 Total out migration: 4,091 2028 Total out migration: 4,092 2027 Total out migration: 4,102 2026 Total out migration: 4,116 2025 Total out migration: 4,156 2024 Total out migration: 4,171 2023 Total out migration: 4,135 2022 Total out migration: 4,097 2021 Total out migration: 4,139 2020 Total out migration: 4,095 2019 Total out migration: 3,853 2018 Total out migration: 3,794 2017 Total out migration: 3,546 2041 Total in migration: 4,885 2040 Total in migration: 4,827 2039 Total in migration: 4,773 2038 Total in migration: 4,719 2037 Total in migration: 4,653 2036 Total in migration: 4,602 2035 Total in migration: 4,552 2034 Total in migration: 4,515 2033 Total in migration: 4,483 2032 Total in migration: 4,448 2031 Total in migration: 4,280 2030 Total in migration: 4,331 2029 Total in migration: 4,342 2028 Total in migration: 4,313 2027 Total in migration: 4,272 2026 Total in migration: 4,259 2025 Total in migration: 4,180 2024 Total in migration: 4,306 2023 Total in migration: 4,494 2022 Total in migration: 4,461 2021 Total in migration: 4,124 2020 Total in migration: 4,326 2019 Total in migration: 5,066 2018 Total in migration: 4,111 2017 Total in migration: 4,788 2041 Total net migration: 369 2040 Total net migration: 365 2039 Total net migration: 364 2038 Total net migration: 362 2037 Total net migration: 343 2036 Total net migration: 336 2035 Total net migration: 326 2034 Total net migration: 331 2033 Total net migration: 341 2032 Total net migration: 349 2031 Total net migration: 185 2030 Total net migration: 236 2029 Total net migration: 251 2028 Total net migration: 221 2027 Total net migration: 171 2026 Total net migration: 143 2025 Total net migration: 24 2024 Total net migration: 135 2023 Total net migration: 359 2022 Total net migration: 364 2021 Total net migration: -15 2020 Total net migration: 232 2019 Total net migration: 1,213 2018 Total net migration: 317 2017 Total net migration: 1,242 2041 Total out migration: 4,516 2040 Total out migration: 4,462 2039 Total out migration: 4,409 2038 Total out migration: 4,357 2037 Total out migration: 4,310 2036 Total out migration: 4,266 2035 Total out migration: 4,226 2034 Total out migration: 4,184 2033 Total out migration: 4,141 2032 Total out migration: 4,100 2031 Total out migration: 4,096 2030 Total out migration: 4,096 2029 Total out migration: 4,091 2028 Total out migration: 4,092 2027 Total out migration: 4,102 2026 Total out migration: 4,116 2025 Total out migration: 4,156 2024 Total out migration: 4,171 2023 Total out migration: 4,135 2022 Total out migration: 4,097 2021 Total out migration: 4,139 2020 Total out migration: 4,095 2019 Total out migration: 3,853 2018 Total out migration: 3,794 2017 Total out migration: 3,546 2041 Total in migration: 4,885 2040 Total in migration: 4,827 2039 Total in migration: 4,773 2038 Total in migration: 4,719 2037 Total in migration: 4,653 2036 Total in migration: 4,602 2035 Total in migration: 4,552 2034 Total in migration: 4,515 2033 Total in migration: 4,483 2032 Total in migration: 4,448 2031 Total in migration: 4,280 2030 Total in migration: 4,331 2029 Total in migration: 4,342 2028 Total in migration: 4,313 2027 Total in migration: 4,272 2026 Total in migration: 4,259 2025 Total in migration: 4,180 2024 Total in migration: 4,306 2023 Total in migration: 4,494 2022 Total in migration: 4,461 2021 Total in migration: 4,124 2020 Total in migration: 4,326 2019 Total in migration: 5,066 2018 Total in migration: 4,111 2017 Total in migration: 4,788
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2019.
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