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The number of dwellings in the City of Melbourne is forecast to grow from 75,913 in 2016 to 203,207 in 2041, with the average household size remaining stable from 2.00 to 1.99 by 2041.
This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Melbourne. The period 2016 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.
It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.
|Forecast population, households and dwellings|
|City of Melbourne||Forecast year|
|Change in population (5yrs)||--||55,172||46,127||45,976||45,551||45,103|
|Average annual change||--||6.62%||4.21%||3.47%||2.93%||2.53%|
|Average household size||2.00||2.01||2.00||2.00||2.00||1.99|
|Population in non private dwellings||11,422||17,119||21,954||25,446||28,728||31,941|
|Dwelling occupancy rate||88.54||87.83||86.94||86.64||86.72||87.12|
In 2016, the total population of the City of Melbourne was estimated to be 146,096 people. It is expected to increase by over 147,275 people to 293,371 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 4.76%. This is based on an increase of over 66,774 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.00 to 2.00 by 2031.
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