City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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Yarraville

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Yarraville will increase by an average of 126 dwellings per annum to 9,512 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in City of Maribyrnong. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Zinnia Apartments - 39 dwellings (2017)
  • 66 Wilson Street - 14 dwellings (2018)
  • The Yarra - 24 dwellings (2018)
  • Frankie Apartments - 120 dwellings (2018)
  • Elysian Apartments - 18 dwellings (2019)
  • The Somerville - 34 dwellings (2019)
  • 77-81 Somerville Road - 14 dwellings (2019)
  • 198 Hyde Street - 13 dwellings (2020)
  • 207-209 Somerville Road - 21 dwellings (2021)
  • 222-224 Francis Street - 18 dwellings (2022)
  • 2 Banool Avenue - 100 dwellings (2022)
  • Yarraville Gardens - 1,500 dwellings (2022-2038)
  • 130 Gamon Street - 11 dwellings (2023)
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • High level of infill (30-35 dwellings per annum)
  • Low-high level of activity centre (0-23 dwellings per annum)
  • Forecast residential development
    Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 9,512 2040 Total dwellings: 9,454 2039 Total dwellings: 9,399 2038 Total dwellings: 9,344 2037 Total dwellings: 9,264 2036 Total dwellings: 9,159 2035 Total dwellings: 9,054 2034 Total dwellings: 8,949 2033 Total dwellings: 8,819 2032 Total dwellings: 8,689 2031 Total dwellings: 8,559 2030 Total dwellings: 8,404 2029 Total dwellings: 8,249 2028 Total dwellings: 8,069 2027 Total dwellings: 7,894 2026 Total dwellings: 7,669 2025 Total dwellings: 7,474 2024 Total dwellings: 7,329 2023 Total dwellings: 7,184 2022 Total dwellings: 7,039 2021 Total dwellings: 6,851 2020 Total dwellings: 6,790 2019 Total dwellings: 6,737 2018 Total dwellings: 6,631 2017 Total dwellings: 6,434 2041 Total dwellings: 9,512 2040 Total dwellings: 9,454 2039 Total dwellings: 9,399 2038 Total dwellings: 9,344 2037 Total dwellings: 9,264 2036 Total dwellings: 9,159 2035 Total dwellings: 9,054 2034 Total dwellings: 8,949 2033 Total dwellings: 8,819 2032 Total dwellings: 8,689 2031 Total dwellings: 8,559 2030 Total dwellings: 8,404 2029 Total dwellings: 8,249 2028 Total dwellings: 8,069 2027 Total dwellings: 7,894 2026 Total dwellings: 7,669 2025 Total dwellings: 7,474 2024 Total dwellings: 7,329 2023 Total dwellings: 7,184 2022 Total dwellings: 7,039 2021 Total dwellings: 6,851 2020 Total dwellings: 6,790 2019 Total dwellings: 6,737 2018 Total dwellings: 6,631 2017 Total dwellings: 6,434 2041 Forecast development: 58 2040 Forecast development: 55 2039 Forecast development: 55 2038 Forecast development: 80 2037 Forecast development: 105 2036 Forecast development: 105 2035 Forecast development: 105 2034 Forecast development: 130 2033 Forecast development: 130 2032 Forecast development: 130 2031 Forecast development: 155 2030 Forecast development: 155 2029 Forecast development: 180 2028 Forecast development: 175 2027 Forecast development: 225 2026 Forecast development: 195 2025 Forecast development: 145 2024 Forecast development: 145 2023 Forecast development: 145 2022 Forecast development: 188 2021 Forecast development: 61 2020 Forecast development: 53 2019 Forecast development: 106 2018 Forecast development: 197 2017 Forecast development: 69
    Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
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