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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

Central Precinct

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Central Precinct is forecast to grow from 7,854 in 2016 to 9,259 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 2.46 to 2.36 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Central Precinct. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Central PrecinctForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036204120462051
Population18,60618,98019,37419,83620,13220,47020,78421,078
Change in population (5yrs)--374393462296338314294
Average annual change--0.40%0.41%0.47%0.30%0.33%0.30%0.28%
Households7,4847,6157,8388,0958,2908,4678,6228,779
Average household size2.462.472.442.422.402.382.372.36
Population in non private dwellings226205226226226305370370
Dwellings7,8548,0138,2678,5368,7468,9299,0949,259
Dwelling occupancy rate95.2995.0394.8194.8394.7994.8394.8194.82
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Central Precinct was estimated to be 18,606 people. It is expected to increase by over 1,230 people to 19,836 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 0.64%. This is based on an increase of over 611 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.46 to 2.42 by 2026.

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