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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

South East Precinct

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in South East Precinct is forecast to grow from 6,572 in 2021 to 8,289 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 2.31 to 2.21 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in City of Maribyrnong. The period 2021 to 2036, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
South East PrecinctForecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population14,20415,00215,74616,07716,42916,81517,222
Change in population (5yrs)--798744330353385407
Average annual change--1.10%0.97%0.42%0.44%0.46%0.48%
Households6,1026,5106,9227,1447,3467,5477,752
Average household size2.312.292.262.242.222.222.21
Population in non private dwellings86868686868686
Dwellings6,5726,9627,4077,6447,8598,0748,289
Dwelling occupancy rate92.8593.5193.4593.4693.4793.4793.52
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of South East Precinct was estimated to be 14,204 people. It is expected to increase by over 1,873 people to 16,077 by 2036, at an average annual growth rate of 0.83%. This is based on an increase of over 1,042 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.31 to 2.24 by 2036.

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