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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

East Precinct

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in East Precinct is forecast to grow from 5,534 in 2021 to 14,545 in 2051, with the average household size rising from 1.93 to 1.97 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in City of Maribyrnong. The period 2021 to 2036, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
East PrecinctForecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population8,92414,94118,63720,88623,04625,04227,036
Change in population (5yrs)--6,0173,6962,2492,1601,9961,993
Average annual change--10.86%4.52%2.30%1.99%1.68%1.54%
Households4,3657,2829,09410,15811,22312,28913,353
Average household size1.931.981.992.001.991.981.97
Population in non private dwellings483500500575673673673
Dwellings5,5347,9329,90511,06512,22513,38514,545
Dwelling occupancy rate78.8891.8191.8191.8091.8091.8191.80
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of East Precinct was estimated to be 8,924 people. It is expected to increase by over 11,962 people to 20,886 by 2036, at an average annual growth rate of 5.83%. This is based on an increase of over 5,793 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 1.93 to 2.00 by 2036.

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