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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

South East Precinct

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for South East Precinct indicate a 1.4% decrease in population under working age, a 5.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South East Precinct - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222051Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49846.99776.81,1066.4+122
5 to 98415.98285.88164.7-25
10 to 146554.66414.56683.9+13
15 to 194763.35383.86353.7+160
20 to 247295.17395.29475.5+218
25 to 291,2909.11,3049.11,5168.8+227
30 to 341,63411.51,57111.01,79410.4+160
35 to 391,51710.71,51810.61,6589.6+141
40 to 441,3059.21,3119.21,3417.8+36
45 to 491,1157.91,1217.81,1536.7+38
50 to 549456.79536.71,0386.0+92
55 to 598275.88125.79425.5+115
60 to 646364.56744.77994.6+162
65 to 694323.04463.16573.8+225
70 to 742651.92952.16183.6+353
75 to 791691.21831.35923.4+423
80 to 841871.31851.34632.7+276
85 and over1971.42141.54802.8+283
Total persons14,204100.014,307100.017,222100.0+3,018
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in South East Precinct was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 11.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 62 and account for 3.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,571 persons.

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