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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

Central Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Central Precinct indicate a 4.6% increase in males under working age, a 11.4% decrease in males of retirement age, and a 14.5% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Central Precinct - Total males202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45556.06386.36706.3+116
5 to 95325.85275.25255.0-6
10 to 144234.64144.14284.0+5
15 to 193443.74614.54724.5+128
20 to 246086.67787.67847.4+176
25 to 291,07411.61,13711.21,15010.9+76
30 to 341,14412.41,21912.01,23811.7+95
35 to 3996010.41,04210.21,0519.9+91
40 to 447578.28548.48488.0+91
45 to 496086.67357.27367.0+128
50 to 544985.46236.16386.0+140
55 to 594314.75135.05375.1+107
60 to 643774.14264.24764.5+99
65 to 693083.32202.22702.6-38
70 to 742112.31851.82122.0+1
75 to 791802.01351.31751.7-6
80 to 841191.31411.41681.6+49
85 and over961.01291.32041.9+108
Total persons9,222100.010,177100.010,584100.0+1,362
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Central Precinct was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 12.4% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 170 and account for 7.6% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,219 males.

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