City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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Yarraville

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Yarraville indicate a 23.6% increase in population under working age, a 19.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Yarraville - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2418.01,5788.41,8878.1+646
5 to 91,0046.41,2026.41,5326.6+528
10 to 147114.68754.61,1865.1+475
15 to 196254.08304.41,0454.5+420
20 to 248845.71,1246.01,3135.7+429
25 to 291,3308.51,6158.61,7987.8+468
30 to 341,58110.11,89510.02,1359.2+554
35 to 391,60210.31,8679.92,1579.3+555
40 to 441,4589.31,6208.61,9368.3+478
45 to 491,1887.61,3457.11,6697.2+481
50 to 549896.31,1966.31,4406.2+451
55 to 597584.99785.21,1925.1+434
60 to 645783.77794.19744.2+396
65 to 694332.85763.18143.5+381
70 to 743142.04402.36812.9+367
75 to 793041.93481.85662.4+262
80 to 842851.82691.44421.9+157
85 and over3142.03351.84261.8+112
Total persons15,599100.018,872100.023,192100.0+7,593

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 426 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 442 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 566 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 681 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 814 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 974 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,192 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,440 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,669 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,936 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 2,157 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,135 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,798 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,313 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,045 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,186 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,532 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,887 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 335 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 269 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 348 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 440 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 576 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 779 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 978 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,196 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,345 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,620 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,867 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,895 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,615 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,124 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 830 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 875 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,202 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,578 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 314 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 285 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 304 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 314 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 433 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 578 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 758 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 989 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,188 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,458 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,602 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,581 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,330 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 884 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 625 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 711 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,004 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,241
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 91 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 172 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 219 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 241 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 237 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 195 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 213 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 244 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 325 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 316 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 291 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 240 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 183 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 189 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 215 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 311 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 330 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 308 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -16 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 201 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 207 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 265 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 314 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 285 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 240 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 164 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 337
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Yarraville was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 10.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 337 and account for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,895 persons.

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