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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

East Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for East Precinct indicate a 198.8% increase in females under working age, a 132.7% increase in females of retirement age, and a 138.1% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
East Precinct - Total females202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41383.25365.16374.7+499
5 to 91022.42742.63402.5+238
10 to 14821.91521.52331.7+151
15 to 191313.03253.14543.3+323
20 to 243798.89569.11,1568.5+777
25 to 2973016.91,59915.31,89913.9+1,169
30 to 3473817.11,64015.71,92214.1+1,184
35 to 3948311.21,23211.81,43910.6+956
40 to 442325.47837.59717.1+740
45 to 492495.85795.58226.0+573
50 to 541954.54684.57195.3+524
55 to 592084.84314.16714.9+462
60 to 641964.54174.05874.3+391
65 to 691172.73042.94593.4+341
70 to 741092.52302.23772.8+268
75 to 79591.41721.63242.4+266
80 to 84892.11471.42702.0+182
85 and over791.82011.93492.6+269
Total persons4,317100.010,447100.013,630100.0+9,313
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in East Precinct was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 17.1% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 902 and account for 15.7% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2036 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,640 females.

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