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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

East Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for East Precinct indicate a 86.0% increase in population under working age, a 95.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 88.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of East Precinct is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
East Precinct - Total persons201620262051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43924.77384.71,3614.7+969
5 to 92202.64072.68703.0+650
10 to 141521.82761.76222.1+471
15 to 193454.19315.91,4725.0+1,127
20 to 241,14913.72,27414.43,44911.8+2,300
25 to 291,42717.02,64116.74,13214.1+2,705
30 to 341,12613.42,11113.33,51612.0+2,390
35 to 396798.11,3668.62,5018.6+1,822
40 to 445256.31,0066.41,9506.7+1,424
45 to 494455.37784.91,6515.6+1,206
50 to 543253.95873.71,3574.6+1,032
55 to 594084.95193.31,1834.0+774
60 to 643033.64642.91,0523.6+749
65 to 692603.14773.09693.3+709
70 to 741642.03582.38823.0+718
75 to 791662.02931.97492.6+583
80 to 841061.31881.25491.9+442
85 and over1862.24052.69833.4+797
Total persons8,379100.015,821100.029,248100.0+20,869
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in East Precinct was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 17.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 1,214 and account for 16.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 2,641 persons.

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