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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

Maribyrnong

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Maribyrnong indicate a 40.9% increase in males under working age, a 75.2% increase in males of retirement age, and a 49.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Maribyrnong - Total males202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43415.34915.17855.1+444
5 to 93034.73954.16184.0+315
10 to 142954.64374.56864.5+391
15 to 192944.65295.58265.4+532
20 to 245228.28648.91,3548.9+832
25 to 2970211.01,06611.01,69211.1+990
30 to 3466910.51,03810.81,65010.8+981
35 to 3965510.38849.21,4009.2+745
40 to 444316.76977.21,0857.1+654
45 to 494657.36246.59796.4+514
50 to 543816.05816.08815.8+500
55 to 593465.44584.77274.8+381
60 to 642974.73904.05743.8+277
65 to 692654.13233.35173.4+252
70 to 741973.12712.84242.8+227
75 to 791131.82362.43952.6+282
80 to 84651.01721.82992.0+234
85 and over450.71982.13882.5+343
Total persons6,386100.09,655100.015,280100.0+8,894
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Maribyrnong was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 11.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 369 and account for 10.8% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,066 males.

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