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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

Yarraville

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Yarraville indicate a 6.0% decrease in females under working age, a 69.2% increase in females of retirement age, and a 15.6% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Yarraville - Total females202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45086.35485.86435.8+134
5 to 95226.44534.75314.8+10
10 to 144625.74024.24734.2+11
15 to 193394.24184.44764.3+137
20 to 243824.75395.75925.3+210
25 to 296227.77357.78327.5+209
30 to 347949.89009.41,0369.3+242
35 to 397739.58919.31,0299.2+256
40 to 447349.17998.49238.3+189
45 to 496938.66957.37987.2+106
50 to 545126.35986.36906.2+178
55 to 594735.85295.65955.3+122
60 to 643694.64745.05094.6+139
65 to 692393.03543.74183.8+179
70 to 742012.53633.84273.8+227
75 to 791331.63443.64474.0+314
80 to 841571.92392.53433.1+186
85 and over1862.32502.63803.4+194
Total persons8,100100.09,533100.011,143100.0+3,044
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Yarraville was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.8% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 211 and account for 3.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2036 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 900 females.

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