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City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast

City of Maribyrnong

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Maribyrnong indicate a 19.1% increase in population under working age, a 35.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 25.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Maribyrnong - Total persons201620262051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)6,1207.07,0316.410,0286.1+3,908
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)5,9666.97,3586.710,3276.3+4,361
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3,9914.65,7005.28,2965.0+4,305
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)9,81311.312,88311.818,71311.4+8,900
Young workforce (25 to 34)20,41823.524,16222.234,72321.1+14,305
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)20,10523.125,02622.936,04521.9+15,940
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)8,92810.311,14910.217,04010.3+8,112
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)5,8546.77,9677.312,8607.8+7,006
Seniors (70 to 84)4,3605.06,1445.612,7977.8+8,437
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,3871.61,6551.53,8102.3+2,423
Total persons86,942100.0109,074100.0164,637100.0+77,695
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Maribyrnong was ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which accounted for 23.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 4,921 and account for 22.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 25,026 persons.

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