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Manningham City CouncilPopulation forecast

Manningham City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Manningham City Council indicate a 11.3% increase in population under working age, a 19.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Manningham City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Manningham City Council - Total persons201620282036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46,1725.07,3655.27,6955.2+1,523
5 to 96,9415.67,3885.27,7895.2+848
10 to 146,9385.67,5675.38,0485.4+1,110
15 to 197,8756.48,5616.08,7995.9+924
20 to 248,0676.69,3306.69,5086.4+1,441
25 to 297,5376.18,9276.39,2946.2+1,757
30 to 346,9825.78,6646.18,9806.0+1,998
35 to 397,1065.88,9776.39,3556.3+2,249
40 to 447,8276.49,3506.69,8746.6+2,046
45 to 498,7627.19,4436.710,0586.7+1,296
50 to 548,5767.09,0796.49,7966.6+1,220
55 to 598,0486.59,0616.49,2766.2+1,228
60 to 646,9505.78,2625.88,5355.7+1,586
65 to 696,7525.57,6035.48,0765.4+1,324
70 to 745,9124.86,6574.77,3014.9+1,389
75 to 795,1854.25,8064.16,4694.3+1,284
80 to 843,6303.05,1453.65,2963.5+1,666
85 and over3,6513.04,6903.35,1243.4+1,474
Total persons122,911100.0141,877100.0149,274100.0+26,363
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Manningham City Council was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 1,870 and account for 6.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 9,443 persons.

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