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Manningham City CouncilPopulation forecast

Templestowe Lower

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Templestowe Lower indicate a 7.8% increase in population under working age, a 6.8% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 13.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Manningham City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Templestowe Lower - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47104.97815.07975.0+86
5 to 98405.98695.68925.6+52
10 to 148666.09556.29576.0+91
15 to 198425.99466.19786.1+136
20 to 247024.98355.48625.4+160
25 to 296404.57995.27905.0+150
30 to 347565.39276.09125.7+156
35 to 399196.41,0546.81,0656.7+146
40 to 449006.31,0676.91,1117.0+211
45 to 491,0087.01,0456.81,1507.2+142
50 to 541,0217.11,0716.91,1367.1+115
55 to 598786.19936.41,0236.4+145
60 to 647545.28405.49325.9+178
65 to 696674.67224.78385.3+170
70 to 747215.06374.17324.6+10
75 to 797645.36314.16173.9-147
80 to 846794.76103.95053.2-174
85 and over6974.96874.46364.0-62
Total persons14,365100.015,469100.015,930100.0+1,566
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Templestowe Lower was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 171 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 50 to 54 years, with a total of 1,071 persons.

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