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Manningham City CouncilPopulation forecast

Park Orchards - Ringwood North

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Park Orchards - Ringwood North indicate a 20.3% decrease in population under working age, a 38.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.0% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Park Orchards - Ringwood North is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Park Orchards - Ringwood North - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41833.92265.12445.3+61
5 to 93717.92645.93136.8-58
10 to 144499.63096.93497.6-100
15 to 1947110.13718.33497.6-122
20 to 243908.33106.92665.8-124
25 to 291272.71914.31703.7+43
30 to 34701.51653.71583.4+88
35 to 391523.22194.92555.6+104
40 to 443016.43016.73607.8+60
45 to 4949310.53056.83577.8-136
50 to 544519.73227.23387.4-113
55 to 594108.83838.62866.2-124
60 to 642415.23237.22535.5+12
65 to 692034.42846.32735.9+70
70 to 742124.51623.62144.7+2
75 to 79611.31423.21944.2+133
80 to 84471.01363.01172.5+70
85 and over420.9571.3972.1+55
Total persons4,673100.04,471100.04,594100.0-79
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Park Orchards - Ringwood North was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 10.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 95 and account for 3.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 383 persons.

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