Manningham City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Doncaster Balance

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Doncaster Balance indicate a 24.6% increase in population under working age, a 8.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 25.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Manningham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Doncaster Balance - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9424.81,2285.11,3315.0+389
5 to 9 9564.91,0964.61,2294.6+273
10 to 14 8424.31,0894.51,2244.6+382
15 to 19 1,1665.91,4035.91,4755.6+309
20 to 24 1,3977.11,7067.11,8286.9+430
25 to 29 1,5507.91,7957.51,9017.2+351
30 to 34 1,2816.51,7007.11,8216.9+540
35 to 39 1,1285.71,6687.01,7896.8+661
40 to 44 1,1675.91,6176.71,7946.8+628
45 to 49 1,2526.41,5706.61,8397.0+587
50 to 54 1,2766.51,5116.31,7756.7+499
55 to 59 1,1786.01,4296.01,6376.2+459
60 to 64 1,0535.41,2775.31,4495.5+397
65 to 69 1,0885.51,1194.71,3034.9+215
70 to 74 1,0025.11,0274.31,1984.5+196
75 to 79 9885.01,0304.31,0774.1+90
80 to 84 8034.18773.79273.5+124
85 and over5933.08183.48463.2+253
Total persons19,659100.023,960100.026,443100.0+6,784

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 846 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 927 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,077 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,198 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,303 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,449 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,637 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,775 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,839 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,794 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,789 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,821 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,901 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,828 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,475 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,224 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,229 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,331 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 818 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 877 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,030 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,027 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,119 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,277 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,429 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,511 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,570 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,617 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,668 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,700 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,795 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,706 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,403 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,089 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,096 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,228 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 593 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 803 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 988 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,002 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,088 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,053 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,178 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,276 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,252 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,167 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,128 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,281 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,550 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,397 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,166 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 842 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 956 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 942
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 171 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 184 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 172 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 208 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 264 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 269 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 177 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 121 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 121 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 122 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 72 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 135 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 103 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 224 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 252 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 236 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 319 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 451 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 540 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 419 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 236 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 247 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 286
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Doncaster Balance was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 540 and account for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,795 persons.

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