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Manningham City CouncilPopulation forecast

Doncaster Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Doncaster Hill indicate a 409.4% increase in population under working age, a 306.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 163.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Doncaster Hill is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Doncaster Hill - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41214.86678.59088.0+787
5 to 9923.64635.96996.2+607
10 to 14742.93324.25504.8+476
15 to 191415.53985.16065.3+465
20 to 2426110.36438.28627.6+602
25 to 2939315.587511.21,13910.0+747
30 to 3427510.883710.71,0989.7+823
35 to 391857.36698.59308.2+745
40 to 441616.34315.57236.4+563
45 to 491455.73134.05765.1+431
50 to 541355.32983.84754.2+340
55 to 591275.03354.34694.1+342
60 to 641194.73194.14393.9+320
65 to 69903.63164.04644.1+373
70 to 74783.13023.94433.9+365
75 to 79672.62703.44123.6+346
80 to 84401.62202.83242.9+284
85 and over351.41511.92212.0+187
Total persons2,538100.07,838100.011,339100.0+8,801
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Doncaster Hill was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 15.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 562 and account for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 875 persons.

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