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Manningham City CouncilPopulation forecast

Doncaster East

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Doncaster East indicate a 17.6% increase in males under working age, a 2.9% decrease in males of retirement age, and a 10.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Manningham City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Doncaster East - Total males202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47765.11,0446.31,0306.0+254
5 to 91,1447.61,1897.21,2957.5+150
10 to 141,0446.91,2537.61,3327.7+288
15 to 198655.71,0526.41,1776.8+312
20 to 249496.39425.71,0466.1+97
25 to 297955.39525.89075.3+112
30 to 349306.11,0376.39985.8+68
35 to 391,0637.01,2547.61,2187.1+155
40 to 441,1197.41,2677.71,3087.6+189
45 to 499826.51,1557.01,2577.3+275
50 to 549026.09565.81,1126.5+210
55 to 598375.58455.19555.5+118
60 to 648405.68054.98214.8-19
65 to 697324.87614.67294.2-3
70 to 746714.46163.76283.6-43
75 to 795613.75563.45533.2-8
80 to 844973.34302.64252.5-72
85 and over4202.84352.64232.5+3
Total persons15,126100.016,550100.017,213100.0+2,087
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Doncaster East was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.6% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 268 and account for 6.3% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,267 males.

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