Macedon Ranges ShirePopulation forecast
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Kyneton District

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Kyneton District will increase by an average of 65 dwellings per annum to 5,455 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Macedon Ranges Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • Bluestone Rise - 96 dwellings (2012-2020)
  • Campaspe Views - 109 dwellings (2012-2025)
  • 34-36 Market Street - 26 dwellings (2014-2023)
  • Willow Bank Hall Court extension - 10 dwellings (2015-2018)
  • Warren Brae - 19 dwellings (2015-2019)
  • RM Begg Kyneton Aged Care Villas - 12 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • River Heights Estate - 39 dwellings (2018-2025)
  • Wheatley Street Extension - 13 dwellings (2019-2023)
  • Tilwinda Views - 32 dwellings (2020-2027)
  • Kyneton Future Urban (Riverside) - 480 dwellings (2021-2033)
  • High Street Apartments (cnr Ferguson St) - 20 dwellings (2022)
  • Kyneton Hospital Site (67 Simpson Street) - 67 dwellings (2023-2025)
  • Kyneton Structure Plan Investigation Area East - 185 dwellings (2026-2036)
  • Small sites - 7 dwellings
  • Moderate-high level of infill development (12-57 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 5,455 2035 Total dwellings: 5,423 2034 Total dwellings: 5,391 2033 Total dwellings: 5,359 2032 Total dwellings: 5,322 2031 Total dwellings: 5,275 2030 Total dwellings: 5,203 2029 Total dwellings: 5,111 2028 Total dwellings: 5,024 2027 Total dwellings: 4,937 2026 Total dwellings: 4,853 2025 Total dwellings: 4,773 2024 Total dwellings: 4,678 2023 Total dwellings: 4,594 2022 Total dwellings: 4,506 2021 Total dwellings: 4,425 2020 Total dwellings: 4,368 2019 Total dwellings: 4,321 2018 Total dwellings: 4,269 2017 Total dwellings: 4,211 2036 Total dwellings: 5,455 2035 Total dwellings: 5,423 2034 Total dwellings: 5,391 2033 Total dwellings: 5,359 2032 Total dwellings: 5,322 2031 Total dwellings: 5,275 2030 Total dwellings: 5,203 2029 Total dwellings: 5,111 2028 Total dwellings: 5,024 2027 Total dwellings: 4,937 2026 Total dwellings: 4,853 2025 Total dwellings: 4,773 2024 Total dwellings: 4,678 2023 Total dwellings: 4,594 2022 Total dwellings: 4,506 2021 Total dwellings: 4,425 2020 Total dwellings: 4,368 2019 Total dwellings: 4,321 2018 Total dwellings: 4,269 2017 Total dwellings: 4,211 2036 Forecast development: 32 2035 Forecast development: 32 2034 Forecast development: 32 2033 Forecast development: 37 2032 Forecast development: 47 2031 Forecast development: 72 2030 Forecast development: 92 2029 Forecast development: 87 2028 Forecast development: 87 2027 Forecast development: 84 2026 Forecast development: 80 2025 Forecast development: 95 2024 Forecast development: 84 2023 Forecast development: 88 2022 Forecast development: 81 2021 Forecast development: 57 2020 Forecast development: 47 2019 Forecast development: 52 2018 Forecast development: 58 2017 Forecast development: 63
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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