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Macedon Ranges ShirePopulation forecast

Gisborne District

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Gisborne District will increase by an average of 145 dwellings per annum to 7,754 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Gisborne District. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • Mulbarton Estate - 62 dwellings (2012-2019)
  • Belcher Way and Surrounds - 29 dwellings (2012-2020)
  • Gisborne Fields - 150 dwellings (2012-2020)
  • Fairway Drive/Echinda Lane - 22 dwellings (2012-2023)
  • Acacia Estate - 37 dwellings (2013-2018)
  • Lot 95 Brooking Road - 70 dwellings (2013-2019)
  • Gisborne Village (Wallaby Run) - 77 dwellings (2013-2023)
  • 54 Stephen Street - 10 dwellings (2014)
  • Crefton Court - 14 dwellings (2014-2015)
  • Rosehill Estate - 89 dwellings (2014-2020)
  • Sienna Estate - 60 dwellings (2014-2020)
  • Fersfield Estate - 22 dwellings (2015-2019)
  • New Gisborne Residential Land - 350 dwellings (2015-2027)
  • Paragon Estate 109 Aitken Street - 19 dwellings (2017)
  • 33-35 Calthorpe Street - 10 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • McGregor Road subdivision - 14 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • The Willows - 11 dwellings (2018-2019)
  • Golden Views - 97 dwellings (2018-2026)
  • Gisborne Views - 39 dwellings (2019-2024)
  • Warrina Retirement Village - 25 dwellings (2020-2022)
  • Brooking Road Subdivision - 15 dwellings (2020-2026)
  • 22 Calthorpe Street - 29 dwellings (2021-2025)
  • Fersfield Road Development - 211 dwellings (2021-2036)
  • Black Avenue Subdivision - 11 dwellings (2022-2027)
  • Gisborne South Future Urban - 46 dwellings (2022-2029)
  • Future Urban - Barro Land - 493 dwellings (2025-2036)
  • New Gisborne Potential Urban - 478 dwellings (2026-2036)
  • Gisborne South Potential Urban - 195 dwellings (2027-2036)
  • Saunders Road Future Investigation Area - 198 dwellings (2031-2036)
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • Moderate-high level of infill development (15-52 dwellings per annum)

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