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Macedon Ranges ShirePopulation forecast

Macedon Ranges Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Macedon Ranges Shire indicate a 15.5% increase in population under working age, a 42.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Macedon Ranges Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Macedon Ranges Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43,1706.73,5916.54,2276.5+1,056
5 to 93,4137.24,0057.24,7127.2+1,299
10 to 143,3407.03,8676.94,5106.9+1,170
15 to 193,0146.33,2835.93,8805.9+866
20 to 242,2914.82,4814.52,9314.5+640
25 to 291,9864.22,2224.02,5433.9+558
30 to 342,3444.92,6414.73,0414.6+697
35 to 392,8816.13,4876.34,0546.2+1,174
40 to 443,6237.63,9977.24,6367.1+1,013
45 to 493,7517.93,8917.04,6137.1+862
50 to 543,5347.43,8576.94,4006.7+866
55 to 593,3547.13,7056.74,0666.2+713
60 to 643,0256.43,5306.33,9656.1+940
65 to 692,9296.23,3406.03,7985.8+869
70 to 742,0854.42,8315.13,3915.2+1,307
75 to 791,2372.62,3134.22,8034.3+1,566
80 to 847571.61,4202.62,0203.1+1,263
85 and over7861.71,2012.21,8122.8+1,027
Total persons47,519100.055,662100.065,405100.0+17,886
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Macedon Ranges Shire was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,076 and account for 4.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 4,005 persons.

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