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Macedon Ranges ShirePopulation forecast

Macedon Ranges Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Macedon Ranges Shire indicate a 4.9% increase in females under working age, a 13.3% increase in females of retirement age, and a 6.9% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Macedon Ranges Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Macedon Ranges Shire - Total females202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,4765.71,6065.71,9865.9+509
5 to 91,8507.11,8186.52,2346.6+383
10 to 141,8157.01,9717.02,2626.7+447
15 to 191,5766.01,6425.81,9365.7+359
20 to 241,0053.91,1394.11,3714.1+366
25 to 291,0334.01,1033.91,3424.0+309
30 to 341,2945.01,4655.21,7765.3+482
35 to 391,6766.41,7826.32,2166.6+540
40 to 441,8687.22,0087.12,4447.2+576
45 to 492,0187.72,0937.42,5027.4+484
50 to 542,0217.72,0707.42,4217.2+400
55 to 591,8167.01,9867.12,2446.7+428
60 to 641,7026.51,8276.52,1286.3+427
65 to 691,5365.91,6365.81,9495.8+413
70 to 741,4655.61,4185.01,6664.9+201
75 to 799083.51,2074.31,3103.9+402
80 to 845132.07562.71,0073.0+494
85 and over5142.05752.09262.7+412
Total persons26,086100.028,101100.033,717100.0+7,630
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Macedon Ranges Shire was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.7% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 299 and account for 4.3% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 2,093 females.

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