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Macedon Ranges ShirePopulation forecast

Macedon Ranges Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Macedon Ranges Shire indicate a 15.1% increase in males under working age, a 37.9% increase in males of retirement age, and a 10.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Macedon Ranges Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Macedon Ranges Shire - Total males201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,6146.81,8296.72,1526.7+538
5 to 91,7597.52,0467.52,4057.5+647
10 to 141,7027.21,9677.22,2977.2+594
15 to 191,5696.71,7206.32,0276.3+458
20 to 241,2145.21,3134.81,5484.8+334
25 to 291,0094.31,0703.91,2283.8+219
30 to 341,0814.61,2464.61,4314.5+350
35 to 391,3485.71,6716.11,9286.0+580
40 to 441,7547.41,9027.02,2126.9+458
45 to 491,8127.71,8636.82,2186.9+407
50 to 541,7147.31,8906.92,1356.7+421
55 to 591,6887.21,8106.61,9746.2+285
60 to 641,4696.21,7356.31,9606.1+491
65 to 691,4446.11,6706.11,8635.8+419
70 to 741,0924.61,3625.01,6515.2+560
75 to 796522.81,0904.01,3524.2+700
80 to 843501.56802.59182.9+569
85 and over2901.24781.77312.3+441
Total persons23,560100.027,342100.032,029100.0+8,469
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in the Macedon Ranges Shire was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.7% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 438 and account for 4.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,046 males.

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