Liverpool City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Lurnea

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Lurnea indicate a 13.2% decrease in population under working age, a 11.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.0% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Liverpool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lurnea - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47978.46537.16306.9-167
5 to 98318.86787.46487.1-183
10 to 146727.16667.36036.6-69
15 to 196877.26637.35916.5-96
20 to 247207.66557.26316.9-89
25 to 296947.36487.16296.9-65
30 to 346627.06096.75906.5-72
35 to 396296.65676.25446.0-85
40 to 445776.15425.95145.6-63
45 to 495645.95456.05085.6-57
50 to 545736.05526.05205.7-53
55 to 595385.75456.05175.7-21
60 to 643794.05165.64945.4+116
65 to 693643.84514.94745.2+110
70 to 742742.93143.44504.9+176
75 to 792682.82622.93814.2+114
80 to 841511.61541.72572.8+107
85 and over1151.21251.41451.6+30
Total persons9,496100.09,146100.09,126100.0-370

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 145 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 257 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 381 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 450 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 474 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 494 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 517 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 520 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 508 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 514 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 544 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 590 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 629 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 631 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 591 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 603 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 648 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 630 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 262 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 314 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 451 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 516 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 545 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 552 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 545 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 542 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 567 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 609 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 648 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 655 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 663 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 666 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 678 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 653 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 115 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 151 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 268 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 274 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 364 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 379 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 538 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 573 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 564 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 577 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 629 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 662 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 694 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 720 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 687 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 672 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 831 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 797
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 103 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 119 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 135 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -22 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -27 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -32 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: -37 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -28 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -23 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -18 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -24 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -72 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -63 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -30 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -23 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -21 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -35 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -62 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -53 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -65 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -24 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -154 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -144
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Lurnea was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 138 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 678 persons.

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