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Horningsea Park

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Horningsea Park indicate a 10.5% decrease in population under working age, a 64.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Liverpool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Horningsea Park - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42937.72717.32767.2-17
5 to 93248.52907.82967.8-28
10 to 143539.33078.23078.0-47
15 to 193699.73128.43037.9-66
20 to 242576.82637.12546.7-3
25 to 292135.62306.22255.9+13
30 to 342646.92296.22406.3-24
35 to 392997.82536.82646.9-34
40 to 443579.42647.12606.8-97
45 to 492977.82607.02416.3-56
50 to 542817.42887.72346.1-47
55 to 591614.22346.32155.6+54
60 to 641453.81965.21955.1+50
65 to 69701.81082.91674.4+96
70 to 74611.6992.71303.4+69
75 to 79280.7571.51052.7+77
80 to 84190.5441.2671.8+48
85 and over230.6230.6441.1+21
Total persons3,812100.03,731100.03,821100.0+8

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 44 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 67 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 105 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 130 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 167 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 195 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 215 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 234 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 241 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 260 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 264 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 240 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 225 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 254 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 303 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 307 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 296 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 276 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 108 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 196 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 234 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 260 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 264 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 253 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 229 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 263 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 312 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 307 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 290 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 271 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 23 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 19 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 28 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 61 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 70 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 145 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 161 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 281 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 297 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 357 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 299 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 264 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 213 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 257 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 369 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 353 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 324 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 293
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 31 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 58 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -1 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -20 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -54 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: -19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -9 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -9 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 38 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -37 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -93 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -57 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -22
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Horningsea Park was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 55 to 59, which is expected to increase by 74 and account for 6.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 312 persons.

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